Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000067 0.000070 0.000073 0.000077 0.000081 0.000085
2025-02-16 0.000060 0.000064 0.000069 0.000074 0.000080 0.000087 0.000095
2025-02-23 0.000059 0.000064 0.000070 0.000077 0.000086 0.000096 0.000108
2025-03-02 0.000055 0.000061 0.000067 0.000076 0.000085 0.000097 0.000112
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000058 0.000065 0.000073 0.000084 0.000097 0.000114
2025-03-16 0.000050 0.000056 0.000064 0.000073 0.000085 0.000100 0.000120
2025-03-23 0.000049 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000088 0.000105 0.000129
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000054 0.000062 0.000073 0.000087 0.000106 0.000133
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000104 0.000132
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000130
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000080 0.000099 0.000128
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000099 0.000129
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000102 0.000137
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000066 0.000083 0.000107 0.000148
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000116 0.000166
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000067 0.000086 0.000116 0.000168
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000084 0.000114 0.000168
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000085 0.000117 0.000176
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000042 0.000051 0.000066 0.000087 0.000122 0.000189
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000041 0.000050 0.000065 0.000087 0.000123 0.000194
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000063 0.000085 0.000120 0.000192
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000082 0.000116 0.000186
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000079 0.000113 0.000181